000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180303
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062003
0300Z FRI JUL 18 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 107.4W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 107.4W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N 115.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 107.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN