000
FZNT02 KNHC 161754 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UPDATED 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1755 UTC WED NOV 16 2005
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

UPDATED FOR W CARIBBEAN LOW PRES 

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 18

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN NEAR 14.7N 73.8W 1006 MB AT
1500 UTC NOV 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ABSORBED
BY LARGER LOW OVER SW CARIBBEAN.

...GULF OF MEXICO STORM WARNING...
.COLD FRONT 30N87W TO 26N90W TO 21N98W. S OF 23N W OF FRONT NW 
TO N WINDS 45 TO 55 KT SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF FRONT
TO 25N N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 28N83W TO 25N88W TO 20N95W. S OF 25N
W OF FRONT NW TO NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 26N82W TO 18N92W. S OF 23N W OF 94W 
NW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT SE OF AREA. WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.ATLC FRONTAL TROUGH 31N46W TO 25N44W TO 20N45W. W OF TROUGH TO 
75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 
29N W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 21N E OF 
TROUGH E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N48W 20N55W. W OF TROUGH TO 75W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 23N 
E OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N48W 20N55W. COLD FRONT 31N73W 
27N80W. N OF 27N BETWEEN 43W AND 60W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT 
SEAS 11 TO 18 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N BETWEEN 40W AND 
75W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL. NW OF 
FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
 
.CARIBBEAN LOW PRES NEAR 12N80W 1007 MB DRIFTING WNW. WITHIN 180 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SQUALLS WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N81W 1006. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM SEMICIRCLE
OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER
NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRLCE OF LOW.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N83W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 75 NM ELSEWHERE FROM LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITHIN
240 NM OF LOW.

.CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE S OF 20N W 
OF 67W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 20N W OF 
80W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND 
NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS S OF 15N BETWEEN 67W AND 71W.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 70W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 72W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 11N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE NW OF 
FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE NW 
OF FRONT S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 6 TO 8 
FT EXCEPT 8 TO 12 FT W OF 85W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N W OF 94W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 25N TO 27N W OF 90W NW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. REMAINDER AREA N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
6 TO 9 FT.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER