000
FZNT02 KNHC 222117
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC SAT OCT 22 2005
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 24

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE WILMA NEAR 21.4N 87.1W 957 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 22
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 85 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 175 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 
120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 375 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 40 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE WILMA NEAR 23.1N 85.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 125 NM SW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 40 TO 45 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE WILMA NEAR 27.8N 79.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...225 NM SE QUADRANT...125 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 325 NM SE QUADRANT...HIGHEST SEAS 40 TO 
45 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILMA NEAR 38.0N 69.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILMA NEAR 45.0N 58.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILMA NEAR 49.0N 44.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ALPHA NEAR 17.0N 68.9W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
22 MOVING NW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE.    
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 20.8N 71.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 28.5N 70.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NE 
QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 38.0N 61.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED BY FRONT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.CARIBBEAN...GULF OF MEXICO...AND ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN 
WILMA WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT OVER GULF OF MEXICO E OF 94W AND CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W 
OF 78W. REMAINDER GULF OF MEXICO N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF WILMA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT OVER GULF OF MEXICO E OF 93W AND OVER CARIBBEAN N OF 
15N W OF 80W. REMAINDER GULF OF MEXICO N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF WILMA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER WATERS 
WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER...INCLUDING THE ATLC W OF 76W...WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT OVER CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 78W 
AND THE ATLC W OF 76W. REMAINDER GULF OF MEXICO N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 300 NM OF WILMA.

.CARIBBEAN AND ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ALPHA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER WATER 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 25N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W SE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 75 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N 
BETWEEN 65W AND 72W SE TO S WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT. 

.ATLC FROM 10N TO 18N E OF 55W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 18N E OF 50W NE TO E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 22N E OF 55W NE TO E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 FT.

REMAINDER AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER