000
FZNT02 KNHC 201547
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC TUE SEP 20 2005
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 20
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 21
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 22

WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 18.3N 57.1W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH HIGHEST SEAS 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 20.7N 57.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. HIGHEST 
SEAS 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 25.0N 59.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 33 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 30.5N 59.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 35.5N 56.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 40.0N 48.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE RITA NEAR 23.8N 81.0W 982 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 20
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 105 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
HIGHEST SEAS 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RITA NEAR 24.3N 85.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...105 
NM NW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RITA NEAR 24.5N 90.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 
120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RITA NEAR 26.0N 94.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RITA INLAND NEAR 29.5N 96.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA INLAND NEAR 33.5N
97.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNINGS WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS FROM 20N TO 
21N BETWEEN 52W AND 58W. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 50W 
AND 65W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNINGS WITHIN 
240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF PHILIPPE.
ELSEWHERE FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 55W AND 70W NE TO E WIND 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PHILIPPE WARNINGS LITTLE 
CHANGE.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RITA WARNINGS WITHIN 300 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 27N W OF 76W. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 
30N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 27N W OF 77W SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 29N BETWEEN 45W AND 55W 
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 45W AND 55W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...S OF 27N E OF 
85W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 27N BETWEEN 85W AND 
90W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RITA WARNINGS ELSEWHERE E 
OF 90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RITA WARNINGS ELSEWHERE 
BETWEEN 94W AND 84W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER