000
FZNT02 KNHC 181621 CCA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC SUN SEP 18 2005
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

CORRECTION TO ISSUANCE TIME

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 18
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 19
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 20

WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE NEAR 15.2N 55.7W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC
SEP 18 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS 14
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 17.1N 57.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 19.4N 58.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 22.0N 60.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 24.5N 61.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PHILIPPE NEAR 27.0N 62.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN NEAR 22.0N 72.2W 1008 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 18 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHTEEN NEAR 23.2N 76.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 
NM SW QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EIGHTEEN NEAR 23.8N 80.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. HIGHEST SEAS 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EIGHTEEN NEAR 24.0N 85.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EIGHTEEN NEAR 24.0N 90.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EIGHTEEN NEAR 25.0N 94.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITH PHILIPPE...WITHIN 180 E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT  
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 240 NM OF 
PHILIPPE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF PHILIPPE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF PHILIPPE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE.

.ATLC WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN WINDS 20 T0 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 210 NM OVER NE SEMICIRCLE OF 
DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 75W AND 65W E 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITH TROPICAL 
STORM...WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRLCE OF 
TROPICAL STORM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS 
SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF TROPICAL STORM. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 
28N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...N OF 22N W OF 
65W E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 
27N W OF 75W. 

.ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 28N BETWEEN 65W AND 50W AND FROM 23N 
TO 28N E OF 50W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. 
.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 28N E OF 65W E 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 29N BETWEEN 65W AND 40W 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL.

.ATLC LOW PRES 10N37W 1008 MB MOVING W NW 10 KT. WITHIN 420 NM 
NE QUADRANT OF LOW E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS WITHIN 360 E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW PRES. 
.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
NEAR 12N41W. LITTLE CHANGE. 
.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
13N44W. WITHIN 480 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 65W AND 68W NE TO E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
 
.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 27N E OF 85W NE WINDS 
INCREASING TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS S OF 28N E OF 88W 
NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST SEAS 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA.

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER