000
FZNT02 KNHC 121502
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC MON SEP 12 2005
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 12
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 13
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 14

WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA NEAR 31.6N 76.8W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
12 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 2 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NE QUADRANT 
...140 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...240 
NM SE QUADRANT...225 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH HIGHEST SEAS 32 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 32.3N 77.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTER WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 33 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 33.9N 77.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE 
CHANGE TO SEAS.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OPHELIA NEAR 35.5N 76.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA NEAR 38.0N 73.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW OPHELIA NEAR 41.0N 68.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...N OF 27N 
BETWEEN 71W AND 79W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 70W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN SWELL FROM OPHELIA.  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 
150 NM OF OPHELIA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...
LITTLE CHANGE.  NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN OPHELIA WARNING...
N OF 28N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 15 
FT...HIGHEST SEAS N OF 30N.

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N47W 25N54W.  N OF 29N WITHIN 240 NM W OF 
FRONT NW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT 31N38W 25N47W.  N OF 28N 
W OF FRONT TO 60W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DIFFUSE.  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST...FROM 12N TO 20N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 17N FROM 65W TO 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 17N FROM 69W TO 80W NE TO E WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N FROM 70W TO 82W E WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 FT.

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.

AS A RESULT OF HURRICANE KATRINA WEATHER FAX BROADCASTS FROM NEW 
ORLEANS ARE INOPERABLE. ON A TEMPORARY BASIS THE BOSTON FAX 
BROADCAST WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE A SUITE OF PRODUCTS FOR 
THE CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO WITH STARTING TIMES OF 
0452...1028...1824...AND 2228 UTC ON 4235...6340.5...9110 AND 
12750 KHZ. SEE THE COMPLETE SCHEDULE AT 
HTTP://WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/PUB/FAX/HFMARSH.TXT
USE LOWER CASE FOR HTTP ADDRESS. 
$$

FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER