000
FZNT02 KNHC 042053
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC SUN SEP 04 2005
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 04
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 05
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 06

WARNINGS
.HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 30.3N 56.1W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 04 
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...200 NM SW QUADRANT 
AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 33.3N 56.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 35 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 35.8N 54.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
HIGHEST SEAS 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 38.5N 51.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIA BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
NEAR 41.0N 46.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW MARIA NEAR 43.5N 40.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIA WARNINGS...S OF 31N 
WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS N OF 31N.

.ATLC LOW PRES 26N66W 1010 MB WITH TROUGH NE TO BEYOND 31N67W. 
WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N 
OF 27N W OF LOW PRES AND TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF 24N67W AND 
S OF 28N W OF 75W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N6327N71W 26N80W. N OF TROUGH NE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N61W 28N72W 28N80W. N OF TROUGH W OF 
65W NE WINDS TO 20 SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. N OF 28N E OF TROUGH TO 50W 
S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE S OF 20N ALONG 49W MOVING W 18 KT. FROM 10N 
TO 20N WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE ELY WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 
16N WITHIN 360 NM W OF WAVE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE S OF 20N ALONG 56W. WITHIN 180 
NM E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE S OF 20N ALONG 63W. ATLC WITHIN 
180 NM E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 70W AND 85W E WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 92W NE WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.

AS A RESULT OF HURRICANE KATRINA WEATHER FAX BROADCASTS FROM NEW 
ORLEANS ARE INOPERABLE. ON A TEMPORARY BASIS THE BOSTON FAX 
BROADCAST WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE A SUITE OF PRODUCTS FOR 
THE CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO WITH STARTING TIMES OF 
0452...1028...1824...AND 2228 UTC ON 4235...6340.5...9110 AND 
12750 KHZ. SEE THE COMPLETE SCHEDULE AT 
HTTP://WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/PUB/FAX/HFMARSH.TXT
USE LOWER CASE FOR HTTP ADDRESS. 
$$

FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER